![]() We were fairly pleased with how our CARMELO player projections performed last year, with the system identifying breakout stars such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nikola Jokic and Rudy Gobert. Here’s what’s different this year: BPM vs. For a basic outline of the system, which projects player performance by identifying similar players since the NBA-ABA merger in 1976, please see our explanation from two years ago. In the meantime, the initial adjustments from last year’s edition of CARMELO are relatively minor. Be prepared for these numbers to change, in other words. So there’s a chance that we’ll give CARMELO and our other NBA products a more serious overhaul before the NBA regular season starts in October. We have a lot of basketball-related projects on tap for the summer, which vary from exploring what makes teams succeed in the playoffs when they struggle in the regular season to trying to develop our own defensive metrics based on player-tracking data. ![]() Or to be more precise, welcome to the initial 2017-18 edition of CARMELO. Welcome to the 2017-18 edition of CARMELO, 1 FiveThirtyEight’s NBA projection system.
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